Oberliga Oberliga West Round 29

MSV Duisburg vs VfL Bochum analysis

MSV Duisburg VfL Bochum
48 ELO 60
-9.2% Tilt 3.5%
1166º General ELO ranking 181º
57º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
39.6%
MSV Duisburg
24.7%
Draw
35.7%
VfL Bochum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+27%
-1%
VfL Bochum

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
VfL Bochum
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1954
PRD
Preuben Dellbruck
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
63%
18%
18%
47 46 1 0
14 Mar. 1954
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
67%
17%
16%
48 47 1 -1
07 Mar. 1954
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
68%
17%
15%
48 48 0 0
21 Feb. 1954
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
3 - 3
MSV Duisburg
MSV
76%
13%
11%
48 50 2 0
14 Feb. 1954
MSV
MSV Duisburg
4 - 0
STV Horst Emscher
SHE
79%
13%
9%
47 41 6 +1

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1954
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 3
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
81%
11%
8%
61 46 15 0
14 Mar. 1954
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
4 - 5
VfL Bochum
BOC
47%
23%
30%
61 49 12 0
07 Mar. 1954
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 7
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
84%
10%
7%
62 44 18 -1
21 Feb. 1954
SHE
STV Horst Emscher
4 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
32%
26%
42%
63 40 23 -1
14 Feb. 1954
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 2
B. Leverkusen
LEV
81%
11%
8%
63 47 16 0