MSV Duisburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
MSV
3 - 3
PRE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
DAR
3 - 1
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
HER
2 - 1
MSV
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
HSV
2 - 4
MSV
84%
11%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
MSV
0 - 2
KÖL
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 2
SVS
31%
26%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BAY
5 - 1
HES
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
DAR
3 - 1
BAY
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
PFO
4 - 1
BAY
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
BAY
2 - 1
PRE
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |