MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
EIN
2 - 1
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
MSV
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
S04
1 - 0
MSV
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1969 |
ALS
2 - 1
MSV
40%
24%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
HSV
1 - 2
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
AAA
1 - 2
OFC
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
EIN
0 - 1
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
AAA
4 - 2
FCN
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1969 |
SSV
0 - 1
AAA
25%
22%
53%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
AAA
0 - 0
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |