MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
KOL
4 - 1
MSV
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
MSV
4 - 0
PRE
74%
14%
12%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
MSV
3 - 1
BVB
56%
21%
24%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
MSV
4 - 0
BOC
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
AAA
9 - 1
PRD
87%
8%
5%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
WUP
1 - 0
AAA
58%
20%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
KOL
1 - 1
AAA
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SVS
2 - 3
AAA
50%
22%
28%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
DUI
3 - 2
AAA
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |