MSC vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VVH
1 - 1
MSC
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 3
ACH
87%
8%
4%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 1
ALP
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 4
MSC
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MSC
0 - 5
ACH
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 1
SWZ
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 0
SWZ
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SWZ
2 - 1
RKH
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RKA
3 - 1
SWZ
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SWZ
2 - 1
MSC
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |