MSC vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 2
MSC
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MSC
1 - 1
DIE
70%
16%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JOS
3 - 2
MSC
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MSC
5 - 1
SDO
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 1
MSC
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SWZ
6 - 2
RKH
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SDO
2 - 1
SWZ
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SWZ
0 - 0
WOE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HOO
2 - 1
SWZ
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SWZ
4 - 0
SJC
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |