MSC vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HOO
1 - 1
MSC
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MSC
7 - 1
GVA
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TUB
3 - 1
MSC
32%
25%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MSC
2 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SVB
0 - 0
MSC
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
STE
2 - 3
FVC
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FVC
3 - 0
GRO
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FVC
8 - 0
SVB
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FVC
3 - 0
CVV
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FVC
5 - 2
SCE
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +3 |