MSC vs Bergum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 1
FVC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SCE
2 - 2
MSC
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MSC
4 - 0
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VVA
1 - 1
MSC
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MSC
1 - 1
SVB
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BER
3 - 7
NIE
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CVV
6 - 2
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BER
0 - 0
VAA
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
2 - 3
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BER
4 - 2
SCE
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |