MSC vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
46.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
4 - 1
MSC
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SIL
0 - 1
MSC
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MSC
2 - 0
AWC
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SDO
1 - 2
MSC
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MSC
3 - 4
DEB
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALP
3 - 0
HOO
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 4
ALP
12%
16%
73%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ALP
1 - 2
GRO
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GVV
1 - 1
ALP
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALP
2 - 2
LEO
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |