MS ABDB vs Najip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WIJ
0 - 2
MSA
16%
18%
66%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MSA
2 - 1
IND
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +21 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
MSA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MSA
4 - 1
BAW
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
KIL
1 - 6
MSA
53%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Najip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAJ
2 - 2
BAW
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NAJ
5 - 0
KAS
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -8 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
WIJ
5 - 4
NAJ
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +8 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
JER
1 - 2
NAJ
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
NAJ
5 - 3
IKL
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |