Moutier vs Timau Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 5
MOU
17%
19%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MUT
0 - 0
MOU
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
5 - 1
BUM
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BER
5 - 2
MOU
30%
24%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TIM
3 - 3
LAN
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 2
TIM
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 3
TIM
17%
19%
65%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIM
3 - 1
LER
40%
21%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUT
2 - 3
TIM
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |