Moutier vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
MOU
21%
19%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 5
MOU
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
LIE
30%
21%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MUT
2 - 1
MOU
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 0
OSA
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LER
1 - 1
DOR
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LER
0 - 1
FCP
49%
21%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
LER
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALL
3 - 1
LER
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LER
2 - 5
LIE
22%
20%
59%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -2 |