Mount Rich vs St. John's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Rich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
MRI
3 - 3
QPR
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JOH
2 - 2
MRI
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 1
MRI
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MRI
3 - 2
BJP
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MRI
2 - 2
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. John's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
JOH
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JOH
2 - 2
MRI
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
JOH
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JOH
2 - 1
QPR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
JOH
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |