Motril CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 0
MOT
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
MOT
1 - 0
BET
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
XER
0 - 0
MOT
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MOT
1 - 0
AGD
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MAN
0 - 1
MOT
53%
27%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 0
ECI
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PLA
0 - 2
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
RJA
2 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 2
RJA
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
POL
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |