Motril CF vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CPC
1 - 1
MOT
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MOT
3 - 3
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 0
MOT
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MOT
3 - 1
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
DHE
1 - 2
MOT
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 1
COR
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
MEL
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CPC
2 - 0
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAN
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 2
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |