Motril CF vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 1
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 1
BAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UBE
0 - 0
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NIJ
1 - 1
MOT
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 2
GUA
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALH
1 - 2
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 3
GRA
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |