Motor Lublin vs Wólczanka W. Pełkińska analysis


30	ELO	24
3.4%	Tilt	18.2%
886º	General ELO ranking	27397º
24º	Country ELO ranking	294º
ELO win probability

68.9%

Motor Lublin

17.3%

Draw

13.8%

Wólczanka W. Pełkińska

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

68.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%

17.3%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

7.8%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

17.3%

13.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motor Lublin

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Aug. 2014	CHE 2 - 0 MOT 19% 21% 61%	32	21	11	0
09 Aug. 2014	MOT 1 - 2 RES 53% 23% 23%	33	36	3	-1
08 Jun. 2014	KSL 2 - 1 MOT 64% 20% 17%	37	47	10	-4
01 Jun. 2014	MOT 2 - 1 ZNI 36% 27% 37%	35	46	11	+2
24 May. 2014	OLI 4 - 1 MOT 51% 25% 24%	36	45	9	-1