Motherwell vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
ABE
1 - 1
MHE
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
AIR
1 - 1
MHE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
MHE
2 - 2
HOM
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
AYR
0 - 0
MHE
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
MHE
8 - 2
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
AYR
1 - 1
GLA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
GRE
0 - 0
AYR
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
AYR
0 - 0
MHE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
CLY
2 - 0
AYR
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |