Motema Pembe vs Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
NDB
1 - 2
MOT
17%
31%
53%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
DAU
0 - 1
MOT
37%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MOT
4 - 0
LUB
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MUU
0 - 3
MOT
10%
25%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 0
MUU
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
DBL
18%
32%
51%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 0
MAN
24%
29%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
RAN
1 - 0
ASD
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
VCL
2 - 0
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |