Motala vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 46 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 41 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 35 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 24 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 24 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 74% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
MOT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 2
IFH
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
MOT
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
MOT
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 3
MOT
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
FBK
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 2
FBK
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
ENK
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |