Motala vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
13º
8º
7
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 54 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 50 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 41 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 24 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
MOT
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
SKS
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KON
4 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 0
MOT
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OSK
0 - 1
MOT
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
1 - 2
STE
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
BKF
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 3
BKF
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VFK
1 - 0
BKF
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |