Móstoles CF vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ROZ
2 - 1
MOS
25%
21%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 1
EFC
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOB
0 - 3
MOS
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 0
TVA
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NVL
0 - 1
MOS
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 3
COM
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RBR
2 - 2
UCA
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 2
IBT
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUL
2 - 4
UCA
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
VDO
49%
23%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |