CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
16º
15º
67
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 93% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 0
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RVB
2 - 2
CDE
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
GAL
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LRZ
2 - 1
CDE
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
RMA
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 2
TRJ
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |