CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
16º
15º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CAN
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POZ
3 - 1
CDE
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 1
GET
48%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 0
CDE
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDM
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
RVB
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
LRZ
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |