First Division round 13

Mosta vs Rabat Ajax analysis

Mosta Rabat Ajax
51 ELO 47
1.8% Tilt 8.7%
1703º General ELO ranking 8221º
Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
60%
Mosta
21.7%
Draw
18.3%
Rabat Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Mosta
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mosta
-31%
-66%
Rabat Ajax

ELO progression

Mosta
Rabat Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mosta
Mosta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2009
SEN
Senglea Athletic
2 - 2
Mosta
MOS
31%
25%
44%
51 44 7 0
14 Mar. 2009
MOS
Mosta
2 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
71%
18%
11%
51 39 12 0
28 Feb. 2009
MQA
Mqabba FC
1 - 1
Mosta
MOS
37%
25%
39%
51 46 5 0
14 Feb. 2009
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
1 - 1
Mosta
MOS
44%
25%
32%
51 50 1 0
25 Jan. 2009
PIE
Pieta Hotspurs
2 - 2
Mosta
MOS
44%
24%
32%
51 48 3 0

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2009
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 1
Pieta Hotspurs
PIE
46%
24%
30%
48 49 1 0
14 Mar. 2009
SGC
St. Georges FC
1 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
50%
24%
27%
48 46 2 0
28 Feb. 2009
RAB
Rabat Ajax
2 - 1
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
47%
24%
28%
47 48 1 +1
14 Feb. 2009
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 4
Dingli Swallows
DIN
46%
24%
30%
48 49 1 -1
31 Jan. 2009
RAB
Rabat Ajax
1 - 3
Vittoriosa Stars
VIT
50%
24%
26%
50 49 1 -2