Mosta vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
SLU
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 3
MOS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
HIB
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
MOS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MOS
2 - 3
SIR
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LUQ
1 - 2
FUN
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PIE
5 - 0
LUQ
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LUQ
0 - 2
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
QRE
2 - 1
LUQ
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LUQ
1 - 1
MGA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |