Mosta vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAX
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ZEB
1 - 1
MOS
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
MOS
6 - 1
SEN
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOS
3 - 1
PIE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 0
QOR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAX
1 - 3
BIR
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
7 - 1
HAM
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BIR
3 - 1
ZEB
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |