Mossley vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 1
LAN
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
MOS
61%
18%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 4
HYD
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OSS
2 - 1
MOS
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MOS
3 - 4
DRO
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RAD
0 - 1
CLI
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 1
RAD
76%
15%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GOO
0 - 1
RAD
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
RAD
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAM
2 - 0
RAD
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |