Mossley vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 2
MOS
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MOS
1 - 3
SAL
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 1
NOR
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
5 - 5
MOS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MOS
1 - 0
FAR
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 3
CLI
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RAD
3 - 2
LAN
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 3
LAN
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 0
FAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
CUR
27%
24%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |