Mossley vs Dunston UTS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
MOS
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 2
LEE
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RAM
3 - 1
MOS
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 3
MOS
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
CIT
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 2
CON
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
DUN
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 3
OUF
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
DUN
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |