Moss vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
HAU
5 - 3
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 0
HAM
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MOS
4 - 0
HON
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
MOS
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 1
NYB
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MJO
3 - 0
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 1
LOV
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 3
SKE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
S08
4 - 0
TRO
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |