Moss vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 1
HAU
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SOG
1 - 0
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
0 - 5
ELP
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
TRO
4 - 2
MOS
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
4 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 3
SOG
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ELP
6 - 2
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 0
TRO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
KON
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |