Moss vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SKE
2 - 1
MOS
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 1
TRO
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
HAU
5 - 3
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 0
HAM
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
S08
4 - 1
LOV
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
STA
0 - 2
S08
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
S08
1 - 1
ALT
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SOG
0 - 1
S08
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
S08
4 - 1
NYB
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |