Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
MOS
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 3
MOS
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 1
STA
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 3
MOS
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HON
6 - 0
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HON
2 - 0
ALT
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
STA
2 - 2
HON
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HON
3 - 1
LOV
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NYB
1 - 5
HON
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HON
6 - 0
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |