Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
HOD
2 - 1
MOS
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 1
LOV
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 0
MOS
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
HAU
0 - 4
MOS
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MOS
0 - 2
SOG
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
HON
4 - 0
SOG
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ELP
5 - 3
HON
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HON
1 - 1
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 3
HON
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HON
1 - 4
KON
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |