Moss vs HamKam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MOS
4 - 0
HON
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
MOS
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 3
MOS
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 1
STA
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HAM
3 - 1
STA
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALT
5 - 3
HAM
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 2
SOG
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NYB
2 - 2
HAM
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HAM
3 - 1
MJO
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |