U.D. Mos vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
MOS
32%
22%
47%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
4 - 1
JUV
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 2
MOS
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LTA
1 - 0
MOS
12%
18%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 2
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
3 - 3
PRO
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
MIG
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
PRO
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
JUV
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |