Mortágua vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
TOR
21%
26%
54%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GIN
1 - 5
MOR
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
LEX
12%
21%
67%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 0
SOU
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
ANA
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |