Mortágua vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 3
MOR
29%
22%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
ANA
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 2
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 2
TOU
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 0
ADN
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAM
1 - 3
GAF
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
ACA
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 1
GAF
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
RDA
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
TOU
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |