Mortágua vs Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+522%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
AMO
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
USA
14%
22%
63%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +5 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCA
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +3 |