Morpeth Town vs Atherton Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 3
BAM
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
UNM
3 - 0
MOR
66%
18%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 1
MOR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
STO
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
ATH
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ATH
3 - 0
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 2
NAN
26%
23%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HYD
0 - 1
ATH
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 4
BOL
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |