Moron vs UD Rinconada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 2
UDM
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UDT
1 - 3
UDM
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UDM
5 - 0
GUI
84%
12%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CDP
1 - 2
UDM
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Rinconada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UDR
2 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 1
UDR
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UDR
1 - 1
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
UDR
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UDR
1 - 0
LOS
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |