Moron vs CMD San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 2
YEY
48%
26%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
UDM
37%
28%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
34%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 2
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CMD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ASJ
40%
26%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASJ
3 - 3
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
ASJ
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASJ
1 - 1
BAE
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ADS
2 - 1
ASJ
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |