Morön vs Assi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morön
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BOD
3 - 0
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 3
UIF
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 4
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SKE
29%
23%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
4 - 0
MOR
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Assi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MSK
2 - 0
ASI
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ASI
3 - 1
BOD
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UIF
2 - 5
ASI
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ASI
3 - 2
SOL
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SKE
4 - 1
ASI
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |