South African First Division Round 17

Swallows FC vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis

Swallows FC Kaizer Chiefs
72 ELO 76
8.1% Tilt -0.4%
20321º General ELO ranking 1390º
69º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.8%
Swallows FC
26%
Draw
27.3%
Kaizer Chiefs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Swallows FC
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.3%
Win probability
Kaizer Chiefs
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Swallows FC
Kaizer Chiefs
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swallows FC
Swallows FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2013
FRE
Free State Stars
2 - 2
Swallows FC
SWA
33%
28%
39%
73 67 6 0
18 Dec. 2013
SWA
Swallows FC
2 - 1
Polokwane City
POL
72%
18%
10%
73 60 13 0
04 Dec. 2013
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 1
Bidvest Wits
BID
60%
23%
17%
74 69 5 -1
01 Dec. 2013
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
50%
26%
24%
74 75 1 0
22 Nov. 2013
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
1 - 3
Swallows FC
SWA
37%
27%
36%
74 66 8 0

Matches

Kaizer Chiefs
Kaizer Chiefs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2014
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 1
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
47%
26%
27%
75 74 1 0
22 Dec. 2013
AMA
AmaZulu
1 - 4
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
27%
29%
44%
75 66 9 0
19 Dec. 2013
GOL
Golden Arrows
0 - 1
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
24%
27%
50%
75 59 16 0
16 Dec. 2013
CHI
Kaizer Chiefs
1 - 0
Pretoria University
PRE
63%
24%
14%
75 65 10 0
30 Nov. 2013
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 2
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
36%
29%
36%
75 69 6 0