Papau New Guinea League Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Morobe United vs Toti City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morobe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
LAE
2 - 1
MOR
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KEF
1 - 5
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
MFC
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BES
3 - 2
MOR
37%
23%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
TSF
1 - 4
MOR
23%
21%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toti City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
LAE
2 - 1
MOR
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LAE
8 - 1
BKF
79%
13%
7%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
LAE
4 - 1
FCM
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LFC
1 - 2
LAE
11%
16%
73%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 5
LAE
9%
15%
76%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |