Mornar vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FKC
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
BUD
32%
27%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
MOR
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
DEC
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PET
0 - 0
MOR
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LOV
4 - 0
ZET
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
PET
0 - 0
LOV
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RUD
0 - 1
LOV
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 2
GRB
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MLA
2 - 4
LOV
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |