Mormont vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 3
MOR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
STO
19%
23%
59%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HUY
3 - 1
MOR
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
MEI
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
68%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 2
RIC
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GIV
1 - 0
WAR
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 1
ONH
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
WAR
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OPP
3 - 3
WAR
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |