Mormont vs Gouvy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOR
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 3
JSH
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
MEI
80%
13%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAI
1 - 9
MOR
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GOU
1 - 2
MEI
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GOU
1 - 4
LIB
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VAU
1 - 4
GOU
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 2
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 4
GOU
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |