Mormont vs Bertrix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 6
HUY
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ONH
1 - 0
MOR
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 4
LIE
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AYW
4 - 4
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 3
GIV
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bertrix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 3
HAM
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
BER
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
TIL
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAM
2 - 1
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |